Publications
Refereed articles
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Y. Goto, H. Weimerskirch, K. Fukaya, K. Yoda, M. Naruoka and K. Sato (2024) Albatrosses employ orientation and routing strategies similar to yacht racers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 121:e2312851121. Open Access.
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H. Yokomizo, K. Fukaya, J. G. Lambrinos, Y. Kawai and T. Takada (2024) Interstage flow matrices: population statistic derived from matrix population models. Journal of Ecology 112:1326-1338. Open Access.
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K. Takahata, H. Suetsugu, K. Fukaya and S. Shirota (2024) Bayesian state-space synthetic control method for deforestation baseline estimation for forest carbon credits. Environmental Data Science 3:e6. Open Access. [Selected for Best Paper (Pathway to Impact) in NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning]
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J. M. Kass, K. Fukaya, W. Thuiller and A. S. Mori (2024) Biodiversity modeling advances will improve predictions of nature’s contributions to people. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 39:338–348. Open Access.
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Y. Takeuchi, H. Borjigin, K. Niiyama, T. Sato, K. Fukaya, T. Okuda, M. Hayashi, H. Omar and A. M. Norizan (2023) UAV-based height measurement and height-diameter model integrating taxonomic effects: exploring vertical structure of aboveground biomass and species diversity in a Malaysian tropical forest. Environmental Research Ecology 2:035003. Open Access.
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S. Hoban, J. da Silva, A. Mastretta-Yanes, C. Grueber, M. Heuertz, M. Hunter, J. Mergeay, I. Paz-Vinas, K. Fukaya, F. Ishihama, R. Jordan, M. C. Latorre, A. J. MacDonald, V. Rincon-Parra, P. Sjögren-Gulve, N. Tani, H. Thurfjell and L. Laikre (2023) Monitoring status and trends in genetic diversity for the Convention on Biological Diversity: an ongoing assessment of genetic indicators in nine countries. Conservation Letters 16:e12953. Open Access.
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M. Kitano, K. Smallwood and K. Fukaya (2023) Bird carcass detection from integrated trials at multiple wind farms. Journal of Wildlife Management 87:e22326.
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K. Nakanishi, H. Yokomizo, K. Fukaya, T. Kadoya, S. S. Matsuzaki, J. Nishihiro, A. Kohzu and T. I. Hayashi (2022) Inferring causal impacts of extreme water-level drawdowns on lake water clarity using long-term monitoring data. Science of The Total Environment 838:156088. Open Access.
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K. Fukaya, N. I. Kondo, S. S. Matsuzaki and T. Kadoya (2022) Multispecies site occupancy modelling and study design for spatially replicated environmental DNA metabarcoding. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 13:183–193. Open Access. [Preprint]
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Y. Iwasaki, K. Fukaya, S. Fuchida, S. Matsumoto, D. Araoka, C. Tokoro and T. Yasutaka (2021) Projecting future changes in element concentrations of approximately 100 untreated discharges from legacy mines in Japan by a hierarchical log-linear model. Science of The Total Environment 786:147500. Open Access.
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K. Fukaya, H. Murakami, S. Yoon, K. Minami, Y. Osada, S. Yamamoto, R. Masuda, A. Kasai, K. Miyashita, T. Minamoto and M. Kondoh (2021) Estimating fish population abundance by integrating quantitative data on environmental DNA and hydrodynamic modeling. Molecular Ecology 30:3057–3067. [Preprint] [Postprint] [News release] [Featured in 大紀元時報 (The Epoch Times), National Geographic (Spanish edition), and Al Jazeera] [The cover image of the special issue includes Japanese jack mackerel photographed by Reiji Masuda.]
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K. Fukaya, B. Kusumoto, T. Shiono, J. Fujinuma and Y. Kubota (2020) Integrating multiple sources of ecological data to unveil macroscale species abundance. Nature Communications 11:1695. Open Access. [Preprint] [Video abstract]
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S. S Matsuzaki, A. Kohzu, T. Kadoya, M. Watanabe, T. Osawa, K. Fukaya, K. Komatsu, N. Kondo, H. Yamaguchi, H. Ando, K. Shimotori, M. Nakagawa, T. Kizuka, A. Yoshioka, T. Sasai, N. Saigusa, B. Matsushita and N. Takamura (2019) Role of wetlands in mitigating the trade-off between crop production and water quality in agricultural landscapes. Ecosphere 10:e02918. Open Access.
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H. Doi, K. Fukaya, S. Oka, K. Sato, M. Kondoh and M. Miya (2019) Evaluation of detection probabilities at the water-filtering and initial PCR steps in environmental DNA metabarcoding using a multispecies site occupancy model. Scientific Reports 9:3581. Open Access.
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A. Kawamori, K. Fukaya, M. Kitazawa and M. Ishiguro (2019) A self-excited threshold autoregressive state-space model for menstrual cycles: forecasting menstruation and identifying within-cycle stages based on basal body temperature. Statistics in Medicine 38:2157–2170. [Preprint] [Postprint]
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Y. Kanamori, K. Fukaya and T. Noda (2017) Seasonal changes in community structure along a vertical gradient: patterns and processes in rocky intertidal sessile assemblages. Population Ecology 59:301–313.
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T. Noda, M. Sakaguchi, A. Iwasaki and K. Fukaya (2017) Influence of the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake on population dynamics of a rocky intertidal barnacle: cause and consequence of alteration in larval recruitment. Coastal Marine Science 40:35–43. Open Access.
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H. Yokomizo, T. Takada, K. Fukaya and J. G. Lambrinos (2017) The influence of time since introduction on the population growth of introduced species and the consequences for management. Population Ecology 59:89–97. Open Access.
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K. Fukaya, A. Kawamori, Y. Osada, M. Kitazawa and M. Ishiguro (2017) The forecasting of menstruation based on a state-space modeling of basal body temperature time series. Statistics in Medicine 36:3361–3379. Open Access. [Preprint]
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K. Fukaya, J. A. Royle, T. Okuda, M. Nakaoka and T. Noda (2017) A multistate dynamic site occupancy model for spatially aggregated sessile communities. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 8:757–767. Open Access. [Preprint]
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S. Yamamoto, K. Minami, K. Fukaya, K. Takahashi, H. Sawada, H. Murakami, S. Tsuji, H. Hashizume, S. Kubonaga, T. Horiuchi, M. Hongo, J. Nishida, Y. Okugawa, A. Fujiwara, M. Fukuda, S. Hidaka, K. W. Suzuki, M. Miya, H. Araki, H. Yamanaka, A. Maruyama, K. Miyashita, R. Masuda, T. Minamoto and M. Kondoh (2016) Environmental DNA as a ‘snapshot’ of fish distribution: a case study of Japanese jack mackerel in Maizuru Bay, Sea of Japan. PLoS ONE 11:e0149786. Open Access. [Correction][News release]
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T. Noda, A. Iwasaki and K. Fukaya (2016) Recovery of rocky intertidal zonation: two years after the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake. Journal of the Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom 96:1549–1555.
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R. Sahara, K. Fukaya, T. Okuda, M. Hori, T. Yamamoto, M. Nakaoka and T. Noda (2016) Larval dispersal dampens population fluctuation and shapes the interspecific spatial distribution patterns of rocky intertidal gastropods. Ecography 39:487–495. Open Access.
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K. Fukaya, T. Okuda, M. Nakaoka and T. Noda (2014) Effects of spatial structure of population size on the population dynamics of barnacles across their elevational range. Journal of Animal Ecology 83:1334–1343. Open Access.
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A. K. M. R. Alam, T. Hagino, K. Fukaya, T. Okuda, M. Nakaoka and T. Noda (2014) Early phase of the invasion of Balanus glandula along the coast of eastern Hokkaido: changes in abundance, distribution and recruitment. Biological Invasions 16:1699–1708. Open Access.
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K. Fukaya and J. A. Royle (2013) Markov models for community dynamics allowing for observation error. Ecology 94:2670–2677. Open Access.
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K. Fukaya, T. Okuda, M. Hori, T. Yamamoto, M. Nakaoka and T. Noda (2013) Variable processes that determine population growth and an invariant mean-variance relationship of intertidal barnacles. Ecosphere 4:48. Open Access.
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K. Fukaya, W. Shirotori, M. Kawai and T. Noda (2013) Patterns and processes of population dynamics with fluctuating habitat size: a case study of a marine copepod inhabiting tide pools. Oikos 122:235–246. [Postprint]
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H. Gotoh, K. Fukaya and T. Miura (2012) Heritability of male mandible length in the stag beetle, Cyclommatus metallifer. Entomological Science 15:430–433.
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K. Fukaya, T. Okuda, M. Nakaoka, M. Hori and T. Noda (2010) Seasonality in the strength and spatial scale of processes determining intertidal barnacle population growth. Journal of Animal Ecology 79:1270–1279. Open Access. [F1000 review]
Preprints
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Y. Goto, H. Weimerskirch, K. Fukaya, K. Yoda, M. Naruoka and K. Sato (2022) Albatrosses employ orientation and routing strategies similar to yacht racers. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2022.12.13.520348
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Y. Yao, K. Fukaya and T. Noda (2021) A new framework to understand context dependence of two-species population dynamics: a case study of rocky intertidal sessile assembly. Authorea. DOI: 10.22541/au.161700683.30663350/v1
Book chapters
- J. Urabe and T. Nakashizuka (2016) Ecological Impacts of Tsunamis on Coastal Ecosystems: Lessons from the Great East Japan Earthquake. Springer.
- T. Noda, A. Iwasaki and K. Fukaya (2016) Rocky intertidal zonation: impacts and recovery from the Great East Japan Earthquake. Chapter 3, pp. 25–34.
- A. Iwasaki, K. Fukaya and T. Noda (2016) Quantitative evaluation of the impact of Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami on the rocky intertidal community. Chapter 4, pp. 35–46.
- T. Noda, M. Sakaguchi, A. Iwasaki and K. Fukaya (2016) Rocky intertidal barnacle population dynamics: impacts and recovery from the Great East Japan Earthquake. Chapter 5, pp. 47–58.
- T. Furuichi, J. Yamagiwa and F. Aureli (2015) Dispersing Primate Females — Life History and Social Strategies in Male-Philopatric Species. Springer.
- I. Matsuda, K. Fukaya, C. Pasquaretta and C. Sueur (2015) Factors influencing grooming social networks: insights from comparisons of colobines with different dispersal patterns. Chapter 10, pp. 231–254.